Rhode Island 1-1 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 15.2
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island and New Mexico United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rhode Island at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs New Mexico United?

Rhode Island 1-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 43%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rhode Island), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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