Memphis 901 1-2 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.39/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.32
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.1 Crosses 16.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
368 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
06.08.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-2 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
24.07.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 1-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
15.05.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-1 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
31.10.2021 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-0 HT 2-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
23.09.2021 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
1-2
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.20 xG 2.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 201
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
38 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven nicked a narrow win over Memphis 901 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Memphis 901 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 58% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 42%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.20 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Memphis 901 and 0.50 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs Indy Eleven?

Memphis 901 1-2 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 49%, draw 25%, Indy Eleven 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✗ BTTS No
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