Gor Mahia 1-2 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.4
Draw
20%
4.09
Away
9%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.8
Over
46%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
47%
4-5
20%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gor Mahia The Market 71%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars The Market 14%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.58
0.60 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.75
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 2-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
30.12.2021 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 0-2 HT 0-1 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
REVIEW Gor Mahia vs Nairobi City Stars
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nairobi City Stars squeezed past Gor Mahia 2-1 on their travels.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Gor Mahia at 71% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nairobi City Stars led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Gor Mahia against 2.00 for Nairobi City Stars.

Gor Mahia vs Nairobi City Stars Result & Final Score

Gor Mahia 1 - 2 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gor Mahia vs Nairobi City Stars Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 71%, draw 19%, Nairobi City Stars 9%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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