Penafiel vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Penafiel v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Penafiel 0-0 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel and Chaves fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Chances came and went, but the finishing never arrived.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Penafiel had 39% of the ball to Chaves's 61%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.94 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Penafiel and 1.33 for Chaves.
Penafiel vs Chaves Result & Final Score
Penafiel 0-0 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Penafiel vs Chaves Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 32%, draw 29%, Chaves 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.