Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
24%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.08
No
56%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
8%
+15.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
28%
+16.1pp
56%
BTTS No
72%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.61/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.65
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +143%
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
15.06.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
13.04.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
27.05.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 1-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
01.03.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
25.01.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien squeezed past Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Du Sahel at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.50 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 54%, draw 22%, CS Sfaxien 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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