Miami AC 2-3 Weston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami AC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.40/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.69
-81% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami AC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Weston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.07.2024 Miami AC Miami AC 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston Weston USL2
27.06.2024 Miami AC Miami AC 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston Weston USL2
30.05.2024 Weston Weston 0-1 HT 0-0 Miami AC Miami AC USL2
03.07.2023 Miami AC Miami AC 1-0 Weston Weston USL2
08.06.2023 Weston Weston 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami AC Miami AC USL2
01.06.2023 Weston Weston 0-2 HT 0-0 Miami AC Miami AC USL2
POST-MATCH Miami AC vs Weston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston nicked a narrow win over Miami AC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Miami AC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami AC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miami AC and 0.00 for Weston.

What was the final score of Miami AC vs Weston?

Miami AC 2-3 Weston in the USA - USL League 2 on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami AC vs Weston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami AC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Miami AC 56%, draw 27%, Weston 18%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miami AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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