Al Hadd 1-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
48%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.41
6+ Goals
7%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.78/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.93
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hadd
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2026 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
30.01.2025 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-2 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHKK
02.04.2024 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
06.10.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
03.05.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
27.12.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hadd
1-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hadd vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hadd nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab Manama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hadd as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hadd had 60% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 40%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hadd had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Hadd and 1.00 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Al Hadd vs Al Shabab Manama?

Al Hadd 1-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hadd vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Hadd 49%, draw 29%, Al Shabab Manama 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hadd), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hadd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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