Budaiya 2-2 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 May 2026

Budaiya
2-2 HT 1-1
Al Ahli Manama
📅15/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Budaiya vs Al Ahli Manama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
7%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Budaiya v Al Ahli Manama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budaiya EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 45%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.49/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.18
-58% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Budaiya vs Al Ahli Manama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budaiya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.02.2026 Budaiya Budaiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
08.01.2026 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-3 HT 2-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
01.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-1 HT 1-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
27.12.2022 Budaiya Budaiya 1-4 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
11.02.2022 Budaiya Budaiya 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
12.09.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH

Budaiya 2-2 Al Ahli Manama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budaiya
2-2
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Budaiya vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budaiya and Al Ahli Manama couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Manama at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budaiya had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 54%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Budaiya and 2.00 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Budaiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Budaiya 2-2 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budaiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Budaiya 26%, draw 33%, Al Ahli Manama 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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