Gefle 1-2 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.62
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.69
X/2
12%
4.9
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -23%
1.75/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
+26% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Landskrona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Gefle Gefle 3-3 HT 1-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
29.04.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 1-0 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
29.07.2018 Landskrona Landskrona 3-1 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
28.05.2018 Gefle Gefle 1-5 HT 1-2 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
19.02.2017 Landskrona Landskrona 2-1 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇK
03.08.2006 Landskrona Landskrona 2-3 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-2
AWAY Landskrona
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona nicked a narrow win over Gefle 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Landskrona made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gefle had 30% of the ball to Landskrona's 70%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Landskrona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gefle and 2.67 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Landskrona?

Gefle 1-2 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gefle 33%, draw 30%, Landskrona 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Landskrona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Landskrona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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