Utsiktens BK 0-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 15 Jun 2024

Utsiktens BK
0-1 HT 0-0
Varbergs
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Utsiktens BK vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
10%
4.81
X/2
10%
6.77
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.73
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utsiktens BK v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Utsiktens BK 0-1 Varbergs — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
0-1
AWAY Varbergs
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs edged past Utsiktens BK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Utsiktens BK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 58% of the ball to Varbergs's 42%, shots finished 21-9.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Varbergs?

Utsiktens BK 0-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 44%, draw 24%, Varbergs 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Utsiktens BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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