Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.25/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.04
-32% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Grindavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
10.06.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
17.09.2020 Grindavik Grindavik 1-1 HT 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
01.06.2017 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZK
18.07.2014 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
10.05.2014 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grindavik squeezed past Leiknir Reykjavik 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Leiknir Reykjavik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.17 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 42%, draw 24%, Grindavik 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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