Fjölnir 1-0 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.35/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.96
-27% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
14.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
10.03.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
02.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
26.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 6-0 HT 3-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
15.07.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-4 HT 1-3 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
13.05.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir edged past Thor Akureyri 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fjölnir as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fjölnir and 0.83 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri?

Fjölnir 1-0 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 47%, draw 21%, Thor Akureyri 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fjölnir) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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