Boca Juniors 1-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
13%
7.59
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.54/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.11
+10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.9 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
309 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-2 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
03.10.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
10.04.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
25.10.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
08.03.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-7 HT 1-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
11.11.2019 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
FAQ Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Boca Juniors edged past Velez Sarsfield 1-0 in the Argentina - Premier League on 15 Jun 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 49% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.67 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 47%, draw 25%, Velez Sarsfield 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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