Union Santa Fe 2-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.26
Over 2.5
29%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.75
No
65%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.66
2-3 Goals
34%
2.01
4-5 Goals
13%
9.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.42
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
12%
4.12
X/2
13%
6.45
X/X
20%
2.9
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
16%
6.29
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
76%
-4.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
24%
+4.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.3pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.14/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.01
-21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
25.9 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
341 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
05.09.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
25.02.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
20.07.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 2-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
19.04.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
07.08.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 4-0 HT 3-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
2-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.34 xG 0.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
212 Passes 203
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over San Lorenzo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Union Santa Fe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 51% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 49%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.34 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.00 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?

Union Santa Fe 2-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 36%, draw 30%, San Lorenzo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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