Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parnu JK Vaprus v Trans Narva — Team-Based Signals
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Trans Narva
EST1
0-4
HT 0-2
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
0-2
HT 0-2
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
1-0
HT 1-0
Trans Narva
EST1
1-0
HT 1-0
Trans Narva
EST1
Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 Trans Narva — Actual Match Statistics
Trans Narva ran out comfortable winners over Parnu JK Vaprus 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Trans Narva found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 62% of the ball to Trans Narva's 38%, shots finished 17-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.33 for Trans Narva.
What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 37%, draw 27%, Trans Narva 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.