Gangwon 3-1 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Jun 2024

Gangwon
3-1 HT 1-0
Suwon City
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gangwon vs Suwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.35
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.32
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.08
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gangwon v Suwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.99
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.1 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gangwon vs Suwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.99 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
333 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
25.11.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
19.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
25.06.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
06.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
15.08.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 2-3 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK

Gangwon 3-1 Suwon City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
3-1
AWAY Suwon City
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
255 Passes 530
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon beat Suwon City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gangwon had 44% of the ball to Suwon City's 56%, shots finished 20-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gangwon and 1.50 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Suwon City?

Gangwon 3-1 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 36%, draw 31%, Suwon City 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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