Aluminium Arak 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 15 Jun 2024

Aluminium Arak
1-1 HT 0-1
Mes Rafsanjan
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Cup – 2023/2024

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.04
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.9pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.7pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminium Arak v Mes Rafsanjan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
The Meetings
13.03.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-3 HT 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
21.09.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
07.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-1 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
31.08.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
23.02.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
06.11.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Mes Rafsanjan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminium Arak at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.17 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Cup on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 44%, draw 28%, Mes Rafsanjan 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminium Arak), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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