Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kagoshima United v Montedio Yamagata — Team-Based Signals
Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
Kagoshima United 2-1 Montedio Yamagata — Actual Match Statistics
Kagoshima United edged past Montedio Yamagata 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Montedio Yamagata at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kagoshima United had 52% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 48%, shots finished 7-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kagoshima United and 2.50 for Montedio Yamagata.
What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata?
Kagoshima United 2-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata?
Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 30%, draw 28%, Montedio Yamagata 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.