Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Liepaja
LET
2-1
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-2
HT 1-2
Liepaja
LET
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
2-3
HT 1-2
Liepaja
LET
Liepaja 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja and BFC Daugavpils couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Liepaja had 64% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 36%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.77 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.00 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Liepaja 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 45%, draw 27%, BFC Daugavpils 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.