BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 32%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.02/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.70
+72% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
15.5 Crosses 26.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Liepaja
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
179 Passes 260
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.08.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
05.06.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
23.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
09.10.2022 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-3 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
04.08.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-0
AWAY Liepaja
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils and Liepaja played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 49% of the ball to Liepaja's 51%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?

BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 43%, draw 27%, Liepaja 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✗ BTTS Yes
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