FS Jelgava 2-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-1
AWAY Grobina
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava edged past Grobina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; FS Jelgava found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 41% of the ball to Grobina's 59%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Grobina?

FS Jelgava 2-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 39%, draw 31%, Grobina 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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