Minija 3-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.67/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/2.06
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +130% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
02.07.2022 Minija Minija 0-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija saw off Atmosfera 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minija and 1.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Minija vs Atmosfera?

Minija 3-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Minija 52%, draw 23%, Atmosfera 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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