Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.53
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
61%
-21.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.4pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.81/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.40
+3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Suduva
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
02.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
02.07.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
28.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 6-0 HT 3-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
11.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
13.11.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 2-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3-2
AWAY Suduva
61% Ball Possession 39%
29 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past Suduva 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Hegelmann Litauen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 61% of the ball to Suduva's 39%, shots finished 29-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.33 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva?

Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 39%, draw 33%, Suduva 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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