Suduva 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

Suduva
0-1 HT 0-1
Hegelmann Litauen
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Suduva v Hegelmann Litauen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 50%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.07/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.92
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
02.07.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
28.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 6-0 HT 3-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
11.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
13.11.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 2-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
06.09.2022 Suduva Suduva 2-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen nicked a narrow win over Suduva 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suduva and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Suduva 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suduva 28%, draw 30%, Hegelmann Litauen 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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