TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
0.86/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.86
-44% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +78%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was TransINVEST Vilnius at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 65% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 35%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 41%, draw 26%, Banga Gargzdai 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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