Ekranas 2-4 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 53%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.96/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.80
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 HT 2-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
29.04.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 0-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
01.10.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 1-2 HT 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
28.05.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 4-3 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda beat Ekranas 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ekranas and 2.50 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Ekranas 2-4 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 27%, draw 25%, Neptüna Klaipeda 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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