FA Siauliai II 1-5 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
12%
+10.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-12.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 75%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.18/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.74
+24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
20.03.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
07.09.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA cruised past FA Siauliai II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FA Siauliai II and 1.67 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Be1 NFA?

FA Siauliai II 1-5 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 23%, draw 20%, Be1 NFA 57%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✗ BTTS No
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