Notodden 0-4 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 15 Jun 2024

Notodden
0-4 HT 0-3
Hodd
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Notodden vs Hodd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.87 — our 28% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Hodd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 51%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.90/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.98
+21% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Notodden vs Hodd Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hodd
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
29.08.2012 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 1-1 Notodden Notodden NOR1
15.07.2012 Notodden Notodden 2-2 HT 2-2 Hodd Hodd NOR1
29.06.2008 Notodden Notodden 5-1 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd ran out comfortable winners over Notodden 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Notodden and 1.67 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Hodd?

Notodden 0-4 Hodd in the Norway - 2nd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Notodden 30%, draw 26%, Hodd 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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