Sotra SK 2-0 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
20%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 31% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.81/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.99
-17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Orn Horten
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2022 Orn Horten Orn Horten 2-4 HT 2-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
03.07.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 4-2 HT 1-1 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sotra SK
2-0
AWAY Orn Horten
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK beat Orn Horten 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sotra SK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sotra SK had 61% of the ball to Orn Horten's 39%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sotra SK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Sotra SK and 2.00 for Orn Horten.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Orn Horten?

Sotra SK 2-0 Orn Horten in the Norway - 2nd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 49%, draw 26%, Orn Horten 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sotra SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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