Fasil Ketema 2-2 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 32%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.77/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
-26% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Adama City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Adama City Adama City 1-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
19.04.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-0 HT 0-0 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
2-2
AWAY Adama City
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Adama City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 52% of the ball to Adama City's 48%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fasil Ketema and 0.50 for Adama City.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Adama City?

Fasil Ketema 2-2 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 37%, draw 28%, Adama City 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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