Adama City 1-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.1pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.05
+87% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adama City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-0 HT 0-0 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
1-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adama City and Fasil Ketema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fasil Ketema at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Adama City had 38% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 62%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Fasil Ketema?

Adama City 1-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Adama City 29%, draw 29%, Fasil Ketema 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fasil Ketema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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