Welayta Dicha 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
+10.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.08
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welayta Dicha
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.05.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-2 HT 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
2-1
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha nicked a narrow win over Ethiopia Bunna 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Welayta Dicha made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 45% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 55%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Welayta Dicha 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 35%, draw 28%, Ethiopia Bunna 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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