Suwon Bluewings 1-2 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 15 Jun 2025

Suwon Bluewings
1-2 HT 0-1
Incheon United
📅15/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Suwon Bluewings v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 43%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.50
+68% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / +132%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses 9.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Incheon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.34 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
354 Passes 369
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
30.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
28.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-2 HT 2-2 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
11.06.2023 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
05.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
11.09.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK

Suwon Bluewings 1-2 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1-2
AWAY Incheon United
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
437 Passes 311
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United edged past Suwon Bluewings 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Incheon United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 58% of the ball to Incheon United's 42%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 1.67 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United?

Suwon Bluewings 1-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 39%, draw 27%, Incheon United 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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