V-Varen Nagasaki 3-3 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Jun 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki
3-3 HT 1-2
Omiya Ardija
📅15/06/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Omiya Ardija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +6%
1.69/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.28
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses 10.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-4 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
17.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
23.10.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-3 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
14.05.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
11.07.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
27.03.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 4-0 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 3-3 Omiya Ardija — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
3-3
AWAY Omiya Ardija
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
385 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki and Omiya Ardija shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 58% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 42%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.33 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija?

V-Varen Nagasaki 3-3 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 37%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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