Rigas FS II 4-1 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.53
No
59%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
61%
-20.5pp
59%
BTTS No
39%
+20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.88
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
478 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas FS II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Tukums II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.11.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-2 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
21.07.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 6-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
11.08.2023 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 0-1 HT 0-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
15.04.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II cruised past Tukums II 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Rigas FS II and 0.50 for Tukums II.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Tukums II?

Rigas FS II 4-1 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 65%, draw 21%, Tukums II 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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