JDFS Alberts 2-2 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.06/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.00
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.08.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 3-1 HT 2-1 Ogre United LET1
20.04.2024 Ogre United 0-3 HT 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts and Ogre United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JDFS Alberts at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for JDFS Alberts and 0.50 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United?

JDFS Alberts 2-2 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 62%, draw 18%, Ogre United 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JDFS Alberts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5
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