17/08/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
19%
Draw
16%
19%
Away Win
10%
42%
Under 2.5
36%
58%
Over 2.5
64%
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
48%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JDFS Alberts v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
JDFS Alberts
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ogre United
EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
2.26/0.87
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.41/2.20
-16%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-59%
/
+22%
62%
Ball Possession
38%
18
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
484 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
JDFS Alberts
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Ogre United
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
JDFS Alberts saw off Ogre United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United?
JDFS Alberts 3-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United?
Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 61%, draw 19%, Ogre United 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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17 Aug 2024