17/08/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Super Nova vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
20%
Draw
18%
20%
Away Win
11%
48%
Under 2.5
39%
52%
Over 2.5
61%
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
52%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Skanste — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+43% /
+43%
3.78/1.25
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.68/0.61
+46%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+80%
/
+150%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
391 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
217 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Super Nova vs Skanste Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Super Nova
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Skanste
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Super Nova vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Super Nova nicked a narrow win over Skanste 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Skanste?
Super Nova 1-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Skanste?
Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 60%, draw 20%, Skanste 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Super Nova)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Latvia - 1st Division
17 Aug 2024