Smiltene 0-3 Rigas FS II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
4.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
49%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.2pp
14%
Draw
11%
+2.8pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-12.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 84%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.86/3.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.40
-22% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -39%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
203 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 532 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rigas FS II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
21.04.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 7-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
12.11.2023 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 5-4 HT 3-4 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
29.07.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 2-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II cruised past Smiltene 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Smiltene and 4.33 for Rigas FS II.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Rigas FS II?

Smiltene 0-3 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Rigas FS II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 19%, draw 14%, Rigas FS II 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
17 Aug 2024
13:00 JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United Analysis →
17:00 Rezekne / BJSS vs Riga FC II Analysis →
19:00 Super Nova vs Skanste Analysis →