Rigas FS II 7-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-9.9pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.1pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 11%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.57/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.65
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas FS II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Smiltene
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.11.2023 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 5-4 HT 3-4 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
29.07.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 2-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II cruised past Smiltene 7-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rigas FS II and 3.00 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Smiltene?

Rigas FS II 7-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 70%, draw 16%, Smiltene 13%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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