JFK Ventspils 0-3 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

JFK Ventspils
0-3 HT 0-0
Valmiera II
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JFK Ventspils v Valmiera II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.50/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.03
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valmiera II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
21.05.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 0-1 HT 0-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera II cruised past JFK Ventspils 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valmiera II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II?

JFK Ventspils 0-3 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 33%, draw 25%, Valmiera II 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera II) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✗ BTTS Yes
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