Al Ahed 1-2 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

Al Ahed
1-2 HT 1-2
Safa
📅15/06/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Ahed vs Safa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
49%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.7pp
49%
Away Win
40%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahed v Safa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.49/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.51
+99% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +86%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Ahed vs Safa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Safa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
01.05.2025 Safa Safa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
18.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 0-0 HT 0-0 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa nicked a narrow win over Al Ahed 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Ahed and 0.00 for Safa.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Safa?

Al Ahed 1-2 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 27%, draw 24%, Safa 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
15 Jun 2025
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