Ayacucho FC 0-1 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 61%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.83/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.76
-23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
23.3 Crosses 19.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Universitario
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
250 Passes 278
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 1-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
10.04.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
14.08.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
15.05.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 3-3 HT 2-1 Universitario Universitario PER
19.09.2020 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
10.11.2019 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
0-1
AWAY Universitario
0.63 xG 1.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
266 Passes 203
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario squeezed past Ayacucho FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 54% of the ball to Universitario's 46%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.63 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ayacucho FC and 2.00 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Universitario?

Ayacucho FC 0-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 20%, draw 24%, Universitario 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
15 Jun 2025
04:00 Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo Analysis →
19:00 Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis →