Houston Sur 1-0 Houston FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 15 Jul 2024

Houston Sur
1-0 HT 0-0
Houston FC
📅15/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Houston Sur vs Houston FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Sur v Houston FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Sur EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.58/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.34
-65% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Houston Sur vs Houston FC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Sur
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Houston FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Houston Sur Houston Sur 1-2 HT 1-1 Houston FC Houston FC USL2
19.07.2023 Houston Sur Houston Sur 0-1 HT 0-1 Houston FC Houston FC USL2
02.07.2023 Houston FC Houston FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
POST-MATCH Houston Sur vs Houston FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Sur edged past Houston FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Houston Sur found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Houston FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Houston Sur and 1.67 for Houston FC.

What was the final score of Houston Sur vs Houston FC?

Houston Sur 1-0 Houston FC in the USA - USL League 2 on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Sur vs Houston FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Sur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Houston Sur 40%, draw 27%, Houston FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Sur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Houston Sur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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