Houston Sur 1-2 Houston FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 16 Jun 2024

Houston Sur
1-2 HT 1-1
Houston FC
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Houston Sur vs Houston FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Sur v Houston FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Sur EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.30
-100% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Houston Sur vs Houston FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Sur
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Houston FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
19.07.2023 Houston Sur Houston Sur 0-1 HT 0-1 Houston FC Houston FC USL2
02.07.2023 Houston FC Houston FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
POST-MATCH Houston Sur vs Houston FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston FC squeezed past Houston Sur 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Sur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Houston FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Houston Sur and 1.50 for Houston FC.

What was the final score of Houston Sur vs Houston FC?

Houston Sur 1-2 Houston FC in the USA - USL League 2 on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Sur vs Houston FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Sur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Houston Sur 43%, draw 29%, Houston FC 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Houston Sur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Sur) ✓ Over 2.5
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