Union Santa Fe 1-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.56
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.05
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
14%
5.68
6+
2%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.08
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
13%
5.72
X/X
24%
3.44
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
5%
14.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Union Santa Fe The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Estudiantes The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
275 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-1 HT 3-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
21.07.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
02.02.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
26.08.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-3 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
04.03.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
22.08.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1 - 0
AWAY Estudiantes
1.51 xG 0.28
33% Ball Possession 67%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
165 Passes 444
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Union Santa Fe came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Estudiantes 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; Union Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Union Santa Fe had 33% of the ball to Estudiantes's 67%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Santa Fe's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.00 for Estudiantes.

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Result & Final Score

Union Santa Fe 1 - 0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 34%, draw 35%, Estudiantes 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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