Atletico Tembetary 2-3 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tembetary EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tembetary
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary PAR
09.03.2025 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tembetary
2-3
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tembetary vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tembetary 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Deportivo Recoleta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tembetary had 41% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 59%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Recoleta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Tembetary and 2.00 for Deportivo Recoleta.

What was the final score of Atletico Tembetary vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Atletico Tembetary 2-3 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tembetary vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tembetary win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tembetary 37%, draw 28%, Deportivo Recoleta 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tembetary) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →