Valur 0-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Aug 2024

Valur
0-2 HT 0-1
Breidablik
📅15/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Valur vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.33
No
35%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.2pp
35%
BTTS No
29%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valur v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +24%
2.47/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.77
+12% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
20.9 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Valur vs Breidablik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Breidablik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.52 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
28.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
25.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
16.04.2023 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
22.10.2022 Valur Valur 2-5 HT 2-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
05.09.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL

Valur 0-2 Breidablik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
0-2
AWAY Breidablik
1.67 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 10
351 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik saw off Valur 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valur had 54% of the ball to Breidablik's 46%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.67 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valur.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valur and 2.17 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Breidablik?

Valur 0-2 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valur 44%, draw 27%, Breidablik 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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