LDU Quito vs Lanus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Lanus — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Lanus Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
4-0
HT 3-0
Lanus
CON CSA
LDU Quito 1-2 Lanus — Actual Match Statistics
Lanus nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, LDU Quito had 66% of the ball to Lanus's 34%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.19 to 0.69 — on chances, LDU Quito could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for LDU Quito and 0.50 for Lanus.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Lanus?
LDU Quito 1-2 Lanus in the Copa Sudamericana on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Lanus?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 53%, draw 25%, Lanus 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.