Palestino 2-2 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.83
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.93
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.75
X/1
20%
4.93
X/2
12%
5.63
X/X
21%
3.18
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.73
2/X
4%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 34%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.28/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% / -71%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
32.1 Crosses 13.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
272 Passes 214
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2019 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino LKU
07.02.2019 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
2-2
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.99 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
260 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palestino had 48% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 52%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.99 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palestino and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Independiente Medellin?

Palestino 2-2 Independiente Medellin in the Copa Sudamericana on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Palestino 32%, draw 34%, Independiente Medellin 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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